Thursday, September 23, 2010

3.40 Ascot Saturday

Imperial Guest at 25/1 generally seems a little on the large side for this imo

Started off the season winning comfortably at Brighton off a mark of 85 over 6f

Nto ran in a competitive Newmarket handicap when he was held up in rear and had absolutely no luck in running behind Noverre to go(over 10l behind Himalya rec 10lbs) over 6f

Went on to run arguably his best race so far when 3rd in the Buckingham Palace handicap here at Ascot when stepped up to 7f (only a neck behind Himalya rec 13 which shows the Newmarket run can be ignored) off a mark of 90 3/4l behind the winner Treadwell giving him 1lb, and gets 8lbs from that rival on Saturday where he went off an unfancied 50/1 shot(Castles in the air,swift gift, light from mars all behind)

Then ran in the 32red Hertitage handicap at Newmarket where he was never in it, ignore

Ran better than his finishing postion may indicate here at Ascot nto when 7th behind Castles in the Air in the Victoria International handicap. When he actually led home his group on the far side off a mark of 93 (gettin 7lbs from the winner, gets 11lbs Saturday)

Was 3rd then nto at Newmarket when again hampered in running behind Al Khaleej off 93 (Redford over 4l behind giving 5lbs, giving 11lbs on sat- Gallagher also well behind) was also unfancied this day at 16/1

Stepped back down in trip nto at Yarmouth and never rose a gallop behind Harry patch when going off 2nd fav and finishing 5th of 6

The lto bounced right back to form when stepped back upto 7f at Doncaster 7f in another competitive Class 2 handicap when just getting touched off by Irish Heartbeat off a mark of 92 - was a big step back up in form on his previous run and looked to enjoy the step back up to 7f on better ground - same mark on Saturday


2good runs over the CD this year - Lookin through his form this year he seems to run better when he is unfancied in the betting Crazy has nt been beaten too far in some very competitive races this season, sneaks in off bottom weight here with Seb Sanders up and runs off the same mark as he was a good 2nd off last time- draw looks good hopefully(who knows anymore till the race is over) as does ground

25s generally seems a decent bet e/w hopin he puts his best foot forward

1.5pts e/w 25/1 generally

3rd +7.88

Tuesday, September 7, 2010

3.10 Doncaster - Group Therapy

Not been much takin my fancy the last 2 weeks but like one tomorrow


Looks a crackin bet tomorrow at 9/2 e/w imo

Has had 3 runs this season and has improved each time

Started off the season winning a conditions Stakes at Beverly very easily by 3 1/4l

Enderby Spirit was 2nd that day and was 4th at Haydock nto when Captain Dunne was 2l behind in 7th

Hamish McGonagall 3rd won a very competitive Class 2 handicap at York off 104 (Captain Dunne behind) and was a staying on 4th in a G3 at the Curragh lto (Tax Free 2l in front, Moorhouse Lad over 1l behind)

Look Busy in 5th beaten by nearly 7l reopposes tomorrow

Judge N Jury was 2nd in 2 competitive Class 2 handicaps since

And all of these were easily disposed of by Group Therapy

Then he stepped up in Class to contest the Group3 Coral Charge Stakes at Sandown and was just run out of it late on by Triple Aspect(who went off fav for the Curragh G3 contested by Tax Free and finished a never nearer 5th)
But Group Therapy once again ran to form as Hamish McGonagall was 4l behind in 4th

Bould Mover 3rd this day 2 1/4l behind Group Therapy had run in the Group1 Kings Stand at Royal Ascot and only lost 2nd in the last 100 yards when finishing 5th beaten by under 3l(Spin Cycle 1 1/2l behind)

Then on his 3rd run of the season once again stepped up in grade to contest the Group 2 Audi Stakes and put in the best performance of his career when he flew home from the back to take 2nd beaten just 1/2l by Borderlescott(Spin Cycle, Moorhouse Lad, Captain Dunne all behind)

Astrophysical Jet a head behind in 3rd that day won a G3 at the Curragh last week beating Tax Free by a very easy 2l

Mister Hughie another head back in 4th won a Listed race at Beverly nto beating some of Group Therapys rivals tomorrow(Prohibit, Spin Cycle, Captain Dunne, Look Busy)

Tropical Treat was a lenght behind in 7th this day - she beat Rose Blossom by over 3l when they met in a Listed race at Ayr in May but Rose Blossom turned the tables when they met over 6f in a G3 at York when she prevailed by 1/4l

Overall i cant see Group Therapy out of the 3 and at 9/2 e/w rates a very solid bet with the ground being my only concern! Would be more confident if it dries out a bit-

2pts win @ 9/2 generally best odds guaranteed

3rd -2