3.40 Ascot Saturday

Imperial Guest at 25/1 generally seems a little on the large side for this imo

Started off the season winning comfortably at Brighton off a mark of 85 over 6f

Nto ran in a competitive Newmarket handicap when he was held up in rear and had absolutely no luck in running behind Noverre to go(over 10l behind Himalya rec 10lbs) over 6f

Went on to run arguably his best race so far when 3rd in the Buckingham Palace handicap here at Ascot when stepped up to 7f (only a neck behind Himalya rec 13 which shows the Newmarket run can be ignored) off a mark of 90 3/4l behind the winner Treadwell giving him 1lb, and gets 8lbs from that rival on Saturday where he went off an unfancied 50/1 shot(Castles in the air,swift gift, light from mars all behind)

Then ran in the 32red Hertitage handicap at Newmarket where he was never in it, ignore

Ran better than his finishing postion may indicate here at Ascot nto when 7th behind Castles in the Air in the Victoria International handicap. When he actually led home his group on the far side off a mark of 93 (gettin 7lbs from the winner, gets 11lbs Saturday)

Was 3rd then nto at Newmarket when again hampered in running behind Al Khaleej off 93 (Redford over 4l behind giving 5lbs, giving 11lbs on sat- Gallagher also well behind) was also unfancied this day at 16/1

Stepped back down in trip nto at Yarmouth and never rose a gallop behind Harry patch when going off 2nd fav and finishing 5th of 6

The lto bounced right back to form when stepped back upto 7f at Doncaster 7f in another competitive Class 2 handicap when just getting touched off by Irish Heartbeat off a mark of 92 - was a big step back up in form on his previous run and looked to enjoy the step back up to 7f on better ground - same mark on Saturday


2good runs over the CD this year - Lookin through his form this year he seems to run better when he is unfancied in the betting has nt been beaten too far in some very competitive races this season, sneaks in off bottom weight here with Seb Sanders up and runs off the same mark as he was a good 2nd off last time- draw looks good hopefully(who knows anymore till the race is over) as does ground

25s generally seems a decent bet e/w hopin he puts his best foot forward

1.5pts e/w 25/1 generally

3rd +7.88